Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000680 0.000774 0.000873 0.000985 0.001109 0.001241 0.001391
2025-08-31 0.000513 0.000639 0.000782 0.000954 0.001156 0.001383 0.001656
2025-09-07 0.000434 0.000574 0.000741 0.000952 0.001208 0.001506 0.001876
2025-09-14 0.000375 0.000525 0.000710 0.000953 0.001257 0.001621 0.002088
2025-09-21 0.000325 0.000479 0.000676 0.000943 0.001287 0.001711 0.002266
2025-09-28 0.000282 0.000436 0.000641 0.000927 0.001306 0.001783 0.002420
2025-10-05 0.000261 0.000421 0.000640 0.000953 0.001377 0.001921 0.002660
2025-10-12 0.000240 0.000404 0.000634 0.000971 0.001437 0.002046 0.002886
2025-10-19 0.000214 0.000376 0.000611 0.000962 0.001459 0.002120 0.003045
2025-10-26 0.000190 0.000348 0.000585 0.000948 0.001472 0.002180 0.003186
2025-11-02 0.000175 0.000334 0.000577 0.000958 0.001517 0.002285 0.003388
2025-11-09 0.000160 0.000317 0.000564 0.000959 0.001550 0.002371 0.003567
2025-11-16 0.000139 0.000288 0.000531 0.000929 0.001535 0.002392 0.003657
2025-11-23 0.000121 0.000263 0.000501 0.000901 0.001522 0.002415 0.003750
2025-11-30 0.000110 0.000248 0.000488 0.000898 0.001546 0.002490 0.003916
2025-12-07 0.000100 0.000236 0.000477 0.000899 0.001575 0.002572 0.004094
2025-12-14 0.000090 0.000222 0.000461 0.000889 0.001588 0.002630 0.004238
2025-12-21 0.000080 0.000206 0.000443 0.000874 0.001589 0.002671 0.004358
2025-12-28 0.000077 0.000204 0.000448 0.000899 0.001656 0.002810 0.004623
2026-01-04 0.000073 0.000200 0.000449 0.000916 0.001710 0.002932 0.004867
2026-01-11 0.000066 0.000189 0.000435 0.000908 0.001722 0.002990 0.005014
2026-01-18 0.000059 0.000177 0.000419 0.000894 0.001725 0.003032 0.005138
2026-01-25 0.000055 0.000171 0.000417 0.000904 0.001766 0.003134 0.005356